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The Monetary Arms Race: Gold, Fusion & Stablecoins Redefine “Safe” Assets
MacroMashup Newsletter

The Monetary Arms Race: Gold, Fusion & Stablecoins Redefine “Safe” Assets

Gold is going mainstream again—this time with a debit card.

Jul 25, 2025
Neil Winward

Author:

Neil Winward

|

Founder and CEO

of

Dakota Ridge Capital

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    The Monetary Arms Race: Gold, Fusion & Stablecoins Redefine “Safe” Assets
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    Gold’s not just a hedge anymore—it’s a payment method.

    London-based fintech Glint Pay lets users buy, store, and spend gold worldwide via app and debit card. Yes, that cappuccino just debited a few milligrams from a Swiss vault.

    Why it matters:

    • Hard money with UX: Glint lets users sidestep FX fees, inflation fears, and fiat fragility—without leaving the regulated financial grid.
    • Real metal, real impact: As everyday transactions settle in gold, vault demand tightens—irking central banks already juggling monetary credibility.
    • States are listening: 22 U.S. states recognize gold as legal tender; several are drafting bills to accept it for taxes.

    Macro ripple:

    If states start taking tax payments in bullion, Glint and its peers could become the piping of a parallel currency system. Expect battles over monetary sovereignty—and a revival of gold’s role as real money.

    Yes, your balance will fluctuate with the price of gold, but, remember, your dollar bank account is depreciating 8% each year—you just don’t see it!

    Bottom line: Watch your latte—and your legislature. The gold standard might be coming to a checkout terminal near you.

    Fusion Gold: Alchemy That Comes with a Half-Life

    Fusion Gold: Alchemy That Comes with a Half-Life

    Marathon Fusion isn’t just promising limitless clean energy—it claims it can also transmute mercury into gold. Welcome to the 21st-century alchemy arms race.

    The catch?

    Fusion gold is radioactive. It must sit untouched in a vault for up to 18 years before it’s safe to handle, mint, or collateralize.

    But don’t dismiss it:

    • Fusion output is just 0.2% of global gold supply—economically irrelevant.
    • Narratively, though? Massive.
      It challenges gold’s brand as the natural, immutable, scarcity-based asset. Investors might soon need to ask: “Is your gold mined or lab-grown?”

    Bottom line: Gold’s still a safe haven—but in a world of plasma reactors and synthetic assets, it may soon need a warning label.

    Judy Shelton’s Gold-Backed Treasuries Are Back (Again)

    Judy Shelton’s Gold-Backed Treasuries Are Back (Again)

    With deficits ballooning and fiat trust fraying, economist Judy Shelton is reviving a bold idea: Treasury bonds redeemable in either dollars or gold.

    The pitch:

    • Bondholders would have the option to claim gold at maturity.
    • It’s a hard-money hedge—and a 21st-century gold standard in disguise.

    The math problem:

    • Official U.S. gold price: $42/oz
    • Market price: $3,500/oz
      A revaluation would be politically explosive, and mints would struggle to meet demand.

    Geopolitical ripple:

    If it catches on, expect a global scramble to re-anchor sovereign balance sheets with hard assets.

    Bottom line: Shelton’s plan sounds radical—until it doesn’t. In a world of $2 trillion deficits and fiat fatigue, this could be the canary in the gold mine.

    The $700B Gold Card Sitting in Washington’s Wallet

    The $700B Gold Card Sitting in Washington’s Wallet

    The U.S. holds 8,100+ metric tons of gold—on paper worth just $11B. At market value? $760B+.

    The temptation:

    Mark gold to market and instantly book a $700B+ windfall—no taxes, no borrowing, just re-accounting. Politically radioactive, but fiscally tempting.

    Global dominoes:

    Other central banks would face pressure to do the same, potentially rewriting the role of gold in global monetary systems.

    Bottom line: Gold revaluation is the nuclear option of fiscal policy—symbolic, controversial, and system-shifting.

    Stablecoins: From Crypto Sideshow to Treasury Lifeline

    Stablecoins: From Crypto Sideshow to Treasury Lifeline

    The GENIUS Act just gave Washington’s deficits a new friend: stablecoins. These crypto tokens—backed 1:1 by T-bills—are now fully regulated.

    Why it matters:

    • At scale ($1–2T), stablecoin issuers could absorb 10% of all U.S. T-bills.
    • That’s a bond-buying class the Treasury can’t ignore.

    It’s also a payment revolution:

    Stablecoins let crypto users bypass banks entirely—trading instantly, globally, frictionlessly.

    The geopolitical edge:

    As China’s WeChat system grows globally, U.S. stablecoins offer a blockchain-native counterattack—dollar-denominated, private-sector led.

    Bottom line: Stablecoins are no longer niche—they’re Treasury buyers, dollar defenders, and the banking sector’s newest competitor.

    Total Crypto Currency

    Fed Under Fire: Construction Overruns & Political Rumors

    The Fed’s $2B headquarters renovation is now a political football. Critics are whispering: Could this become grounds to fire the Chair?

    The legal high bar:

    The Supreme Court says Fed Chairs can only be removed “for cause.” Overspending on drywall probably won’t qualify. But that’s not the point.

    The real risk:

    Using facilities mismanagement to justify removal efforts is a proxy war—a direct challenge to central bank independence.

    Bottom line: The building may be under renovation—but the Fed’s credibility is what’s really on shaky scaffolding. Trump will let the clock run out on Powell—removing him would take too long—but…he could resign.

    Fed + Treasury: Fiscal Fusion Fantasies Return

    Fed + Treasury

    Back in the 1940s, the Treasury told the Fed what to do. Peg the rates. Finance the war. Full control.

    In 2025, history may be rhyming. Some policy voices are pushing for tighter Fed-Treasury alignment—or even outright merger.

    Why now?

    • Ballooning deficits
    • Political deadlock
    • Fiscal desperation

    The danger?

    Markets still rely on central bank independence. A visible Treasury takeover would:

    • Tank global trust
    • Spike borrowing costs
    • Undermine dollar supremacy

    Bottom line: Wartime fusions make sense during crises. But post-war, they usually fracture—and this one would fracture fast. Remember, the Fed only controls the short-end. A Trump sycophant lowering the discount rate would likely just steepen the curve.

    The New Hierarchy of Collateral

    Gold. Treasurys. Stablecoins: each vying for the crown.

    Retirement Revolution: Alts for Everyone

    Retirement Revolution

    Trump’s rumored executive order could unlock $12.4T in 401(k) and IRA capital—paving the way for allocations into private equity, hedge funds, real estate, crypto, and gold.

    It’s a seismic shift:

    • Asset managers win big
    • Savers get more choice (and risk)
    • Traditional 60/40 portfolios? Maybe toast.

    Bottom line: Retirement may be going “alt.” Expect a rerating of trillions in capital flows—and a new normal for portfolio construction.

    Final Takeaway: The Gravity of Money Is Moving

    Money is no longer just a line in a ledger. It’s atoms in a vault, code on a blockchain, and plasma in a lab. The future of value is being engineered—by fintechs, fusion startups, and governments playing fiscal chess with monetary credibility.

    Ignore the noise. Watch the anchors shift.

    In The Markets

    The Monetar Market

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      Neil Winward

      Neil Winward is the founding partner of Dakota Ridge Captial, helping investors, developers, banks, non-profits, and family offices unlock massive tax savings - on average of 7%- 10% - via clean energy investments by fully leveraging U.S. government incentives such the Inflation Reduction Act.

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      The K-Shaped Economy: Winners, Losers, and the New Macro Divide
      MacroMashup Newsletter
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      The K-Shaped Economy: Winners, Losers, and the New Macro Divide

      Neil Winward

      A Bloomberg-style deep dive into the K-shaped economy — why some sectors boom while others break, how policy fuels inequality, and what it means for investors, AI-era labor markets, and geopolitical stability.

      Markets ended the short week in a strange state of desperate optimism: assets drifted higher, volatility flickered, and everyone tried to pretend that the macro cracks widening underneath the surface were simply “holiday noise.” They weren’t.

      Across Bitcoin, metals, equities, and policy, the tape told one story: a system pulling apart in two directions, exactly like the economy itself.

      Bitcoin: Stuck in Neutral

      Bitcoin spent the week trapped in the high-80s, unable to break out, unable to break down.

      Bulls call the range resilience.

      Bears call it exhaustion.

      Both are right.

      The digital-gold narrative has stalled. Bitcoin is behaving like an asset waiting for a macro catalyst big enough to justify direction. Until then: sideways, with noise.

      Precious Metals: Quiet Accumulation, Rising Pressure

      Gold and silver continue consolidating at higher levels. They’re not breaking out, but they’re not giving up ground either.

      Driving forces:

      • real rates wobbling

      • central bank accumulation

      • retail investors quietly buying insurance

      • rising geopolitical uncertainty

      This is classic coiled-spring behavior. Metals are building pressure, not losing it.

      S&P 500: A Split Personality Markets Don’t Want to Acknowledge

      On the surface, the index looks fine. Underneath, dispersion borders on schizophrenic.

      Nvidia is the poster child.

      After blowing out earnings, the stock spiked nearly 4 percent to 193, then immediately became a battlefield.

      • Over 100,000 contracts traded at the 200 strike in a single morning

      • Implied volatility collapsed by more than half

      • Traders aggressively sold calls

      • Price swings hit six to eight dollars per day

      Record revenues and guidance on one side; options-driven churn on the other. Nvidia isn’t trading like a stock. It’s trading like a volatility event.

      The broader index hides this dynamic, but the internals scream: fragile momentum.

      Geopolitics: Diplomacy on a Tightrope

      Several stories converged:

      • Ukraine accepted a U.S.-brokered peace framework “in principle,” with Russian acceptance unresolved

      • The White House previewed an ACA extension to blunt premium spikes ahead of 2026

      • Supreme Court tariff rulings added another layer of economic risk

      • Energy markets reacted to rising tension in the Middle East and Taiwan

      Each headline nudged markets, but none brought clarity. They simply added more noise to an already conflicted backdrop.

      Policy: The Fed Is in Open Disagreement

      If the market was hoping for certainty, the Federal Reserve delivered the opposite.

      • The street wants a rate cut

      • Inflation remains too sticky

      • Jobs data is weakening

      • Consumer sentiment is deteriorating

      • Fed governors are openly contradicting one another

      December no longer feels like a routine policy meeting. It feels like a political knife-fight happening in public.

      The central bank is divided, the narrative is fractured, and markets can sense it.

      Investor Mood: Cross-Currents, Not Consensus

      Some traders are still clinging to the soft-landing narrative.

      Others are piling into gold, cash, short duration, and defensive flows.

      Volatility spikes, fades, reappears.

      Every time a Fed voice speaks, the bid shifts.

      There is no unified market psychology. Only cross-currents.

      Bottom Line of the Free Section

      Markets are drifting not because conditions are stable, but because no single narrative has enough conviction to dominate.

      Bitcoin stuck.

      Gold coiled.

      Equities split.

      Policy chaotic.

      Geopolitics unresolved.

      This is not a market preparing for collapse.

      It’s a market preparing for redistribution — of capital, of opportunity, of risk.

      And that brings us to the real story.

      Subscribe to MacroMashup to unlock this full analysis

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      The Real AI Boom: Why the Largest Investment Cycle of the Next Decade Is Energy, Not Technology
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      The Real AI Boom: Why the Largest Investment Cycle of the Next Decade Is Energy, Not Technology

      Neil Winward

      AI is accelerating electricity demand beyond grid capacity. This analysis explains the energy crisis forming under the AI boom and the infrastructure cycle ahead.

      Artificial intelligence is accelerating the largest surge in electricity demand in modern American history. Data centers are being built faster than utilities can deliver power to them, and the grid was never designed for this speed or scale of load growth. Everything from national energy security to regional pricing and global technology competition will be shaped by how the United States responds in the next two to five years.

      Most investors are still focused on AI models, software, and chipmakers. These are important, but they are not where the most asymmetric opportunity will come from. The deeper truth is that the next decade will be defined by the energy systems that power AI, not the AI companies themselves. The real opportunity is forming at the infrastructure layer.

      In the full version of this analysis, I cover the specific regions where grid failure risk is rising, the companies that are best positioned to benefit from the AI driven power buildout, the indicators investors should monitor to stay ahead of the curve, and the policy signals that will determine the winners and losers of this new cycle.

      To continue reading, become a MacroMashup subscriber.

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      Only high-quality macro insights from MacroMashup that help you understand where the world is moving and how to position your portfolio.

      Read More
      Liquidity Crunch, Fiscal Dominance, and Humanity’s Last Invention
      MacroMashup Newsletter
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      Liquidity Crunch, Fiscal Dominance, and Humanity’s Last Invention

      Neil Winward

      Repo markets wobble, deficits dictate policy, automation crushes labor, AI rewrites energy math, and AGI risk reshapes geopolitics. The Fourth Turning accelerates.

      This week, global macro stopped whispering and started shouting.

      Liquidity is tightening, repo markets are wobbling, and the Fed’s plumbing is starting to creak under the weight of a $2T annual deficit. Meanwhile:

      • Robotaxis slash labor costs by 80%
      • Amazon prepares for a 75% workforce reduction
      • UBI enters mainstream policy debate
      • Bitcoin falters while gold steals the narrative
      • COP 30 quietly concedes to fossil-fueled AI
      • The shutdown’s aftershocks hit the real economy
      • AGI risk moves from sci-fi to macro driver

      Inside the full MacroMashup:

      ➡ Liquidity stress and the return of fiscal dominance
      ➡ Repo strain and the Fed’s SRF going full throttle
      ➡ Automation’s labor shock + the inevitability of UBI
      ➡ Bitcoin’s narrative crisis vs. gold’s resurgence
      ➡ COP 30, natural gas, and the AI-energy paradox
      ➡ The post-shutdown macro damage
      ➡ The AI Rubicon: AGI, geopolitics, power grids, and capital

      This is the busiest macro week of Q4—and the most consequential.

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